Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.325902 0.433515 0.551830 0.689458 0.843267 1.008238 1.197021
2025-06-01 0.149322 0.276164 0.436378 0.641953 0.889498 1.170667 1.507675
2025-06-08 0.076036 0.199365 0.376253 0.620599 0.929652 1.292907 1.739643
2025-06-15 0.040832 0.159656 0.352646 0.635927 1.007592 1.455014 2.014786
2025-06-22 0.016180 0.119968 0.317895 0.628034 1.049864 1.569128 2.228893
2025-06-29 0.003057 0.085182 0.280616 0.609619 1.073520 1.656789 2.408463
2025-07-06 0.000430 0.074953 0.282090 0.645283 1.167200 1.830486 2.691298
2025-07-13 NaN 0.068707 0.289106 0.688279 1.270215 2.015676 2.988106
2025-07-20 NaN 0.061899 0.293032 0.725510 1.364818 2.189953 3.271492
2025-07-27 NaN 0.063542 0.315023 0.791415 1.499246 2.415318 3.618128
2025-08-03 NaN 0.059348 0.322814 0.834058 1.601106 2.598942 3.913365
2025-08-10 NaN 0.047465 0.309379 0.840633 1.651527 2.715862 4.125703
2025-08-17 NaN 0.025869 0.262299 0.789628 1.622267 2.733876 4.221717
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010617 0.217218 0.735904 1.586002 2.741334 4.304228
2025-08-31 NaN 0.004092 0.192025 0.713659 1.592811 2.803030 4.452451
2025-09-07 NaN 0.002146 0.187331 0.729952 1.657246 2.941657 4.698437
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000317 0.171327 0.721517 1.682830 3.027291 4.876351
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.151292 0.701685 1.689232 3.085965 5.019043
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.157985 0.740051 1.787230 3.269949 5.323299
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.168112 0.786208 1.897718 3.471239 5.650116
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.175430 0.826102 1.998359 3.659145 5.959838
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.196355 0.896566 2.147627 3.913947 6.356135
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.206099 0.942063 2.257383 4.114652 6.682765